Anyways, I just thought I would rant about how poorly my month is starting out. So far I'm down $1,500 over about 10,000 hands. Some of this is my fault, such as picking bad spots to bluff, making a stand with mediocre hands against ultra-aggressive players at the wrong times, or not being able to fold over pairs when people have sets on boards with flush draws, etc... however, a huge part of this downswing appears to just simply be due to running bad. So far this month, I've ran $2,000 below expectation.
Here is a graph of the mayhem... top line is what I would have won/lost if I had average luck, and bottom line is actual wins or losses. You can see that I really start to run poorly at about 5k hands.
This hand tonight was really frustrating, however I played the hand perfectly. The guy who open raised was a pretty big donkey, and I just called the 3-bet pre-flop to induce the donkey to shove... he did, of course, as planned... but my 92% chance to win just was not good enough... Sucks that this pot was a 450 big blind pot as well.
http://www.pokerhand.org/?2846216
This hand sucked as well... I wasn't sure what he was limp/calling a raise and 3-bet cold with pre-flop... I thought he could have easily had something like AT, JT or some type of pair and straight draw... which meant I couldn't fold after c-betting the flop. Very annoying hand, however. Villain was 90/15 AF 3.0 over 15 hands.
http://www.pokerhand.org/?2846413
Hopefully this starts to turn around soon, or I may just play some $2/4 Full Ring for a while to take a break from 6 Max. I always seem to have much smaller swings in full ring, and it feels like I can get people drawing much slimmer when I get them all in... which somewhat results in getting sucked out on less.
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